Showing 1 - 10 of 104
This paper considers a sticky price model with a cash-in-advance constraint where agents forecast inflation rates with …. While average output and inflation result the same as under rational expectations, higher moments differ substantially …: output and inflation show persistence, inflation responds sluggishly to nominal disturbances, and the dynamic correlations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958541
This paper investigates the accuracy and heterogeneity of output growth and inflation forecasts during the current and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958731
This paper investigates the accuracy and heterogeneity of output growth and inflation forecasts during the current and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008504547
This paper considers a sticky price model with a cash-in-advance constraint where agents forecast inflation rates with …. While average output and inflation result the same as under rational expectations, higher moments differ substantially …: output and inflation show persistence, inflation responds sluggishly to nominal disturbances, and the dynamic correlations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005138849
interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986410
interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005007633
is derived from policy-makers' preferences about inflation outcomes, we first show that downside risks to price stability … future inflation can provide insurance against the materialisation of such upside risks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986359
Although oil price shocks have long been viewed as one of the leading candidates for explaining U.S. recessions, surprisingly little is known about the extent to which oil price shocks explain recessions. We provide the first formal analysis of this question with special attention to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958574
inflation volatility to zero. (iii) The statistical Phillips Curve changes substantially with policy instruments and activist … inflation hence the aggregate price level appears sticky with respect to money shocks. (v) Discretion in monetary policy adds a … current effective policy is only mildly activist and aims mostly to target inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010986484
I employ a large set of scanner price data collected in retail stores to document that (i) although the average magnitude of price changes is large, a substantial number of price changes are small in absolute value; (ii) the distribution of non-zero price changes has fat tails; and (iii) stores...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958680