Showing 1 - 10 of 21
The least squares estimation method as well as other ordinary estimation method for regression models can be severely affected by a small number of outliers, thus providing poor out-of-sample forecasts. This paper suggests a robust regression approach,based on the S-estimation method, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005008478
Likelihoods and posteriors of instrumental variable regression models with strong endogeneity and/or weak instruments may exhibit rather non-elliptical contours in the parameter space. This may seriously affect inference based on Bayesian credible sets. When approximating such contours using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005043139
We assess the predictive accuracy of a large number of multivariate volatility models in terms of pricing options on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610494
This paper uses asymmetric heteroskedastic normal mixture models to fit return data and to price options. The models can be estimated straightforwardly by maximum likelihood, have high statistical fit when used on S&P 500 index return data, and allow for substantial negative skewness and time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008836162
the dynamics of the return and of the volatility of the underlying asset. The proposed evaluation of an option is the … the Black and Scholes evaluation, in which a predictive mean volatility is plugged, but which does not provide a natural … persistence of the volatility process is linked to the prediction horizon and to the option maturity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005008451
models with time varying volatility. In this paper we consider models of this class and examine their potential when it comes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550198
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008494365
estimates of volatility, we present an application dealing with Value-at-Risk (VaR) prediction at different sampling frequencies … factor in the portfolio volatility equation from the estimated vector IMA(1,1) model of squared returns. Empirical results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642228
-end varieties is likely to affect its export growth and volatility. We show that a higher sensitivity to per capita income tends to … increase the volatility of high-end variety exports. However, a lower sensitivity to distance reduces volatility through a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010735620
A new heteroskedastic hedonic regression model is suggested. It takes into account time-varying volatility and is … the volatility of stock indices. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610482