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A dynamic latent factor model of stock market returns is estimated using simulation-based techniques. Stock market volatility is decomposed into common and idiosyncratic components, and volatility decompositions are compared between stable and turmoil periods to test for possible shift-contagion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010641745
Currency crises tend to be regional; they affect countries in geographic proximity. This suggests that patterns of international trade are important in understanding how currency crises spread, above and beyond and macroeconomic phenomena. We provide empirical support for this hypothesis. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005514905
the root of East Asia's 1997 currency and financial crisis. These weaknesses were caused by the lack of incentives for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005514906
This paper assesses the relationship between money and credit and episodes of sharp depreciation in East Asia by (i … the 1997 currency crisis in East Asia. However, signs of a money or credit boom based on other indicators were mixed. The … 1997 episodes differ from East Asia's past experience in a number of ways. Rapid growth in the M2 multiplier and in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005410552
This paper offers a game-theoretic interpretation of the recent currency crisis in Asia. Specifically, we argue that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005410566
There are two striking conventional wisdoms about the status of regional trading blocs in East Asia. The first is that … members is thought to be very low. The second is that East Asia taken as a whole does function as a trading and investment … bilateral trade. The same is true of trade within East Asia more broadly (or trade within an ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005078366
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005078371
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005078374
New regional initiatives abound, both outside Asia and within. Free Trade Areas in the West - notably NAFTA, its … possible enlargement into an FTA of the Americas, and the European Union - have implications for Asia. Asian manufacturers will … bilateral trade confirm the presence of implicit or de facto trade blocs in Asia and the Pacific, as in Europe and the Western …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005078387
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005078389