Showing 1 - 10 of 56
We discuss linear regression approaches to conditional Value-at-Risk and Average Value-at-Risk (Conditional Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall) risk measures. Two estimation procedures are considered for each conditional risk measure, one is direct and the other is based on residual analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009278294
An important aspect of portfolio risk management is the analysis of the overall risk with respect to the allocations to the underlying assets. Marginal risk is the traditional tool used by portfolio managers to accomplish this. However, this metric is only meaningful when a position is levered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005103419
Expected Shortfall (ES) has been widely accepted as a risk measure that is conceptually superior to Value-at-Risk (VaR). At the same time, however, it has been criticized for issues relating to backtesting. In particular, ES has been found not to be elicitable which means that backtesting for ES...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821003
Risk diversification is the basis of insurance and investment. It is thus crucial to study the effects that could limit it. One of them is the existence of systemic risk that affects all the policies at the same time. We introduce here a probabilistic approach to examine the consequences of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899196
The Operational Risk Advanced Measurement Approach requires financial institutions to use scenarios to model these risks and to evaluate the pertaining capital charges. Considering that a banking group is composed of numerous entities (branches and subsidiaries), and that each one of them is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025772
In order to analyze the pricing of portfolio credit risk – as revealed by tranche spreads of a popular credit default swap (CDS) index – we extract risk-neutral probabilities of default (PDs) and physical asset return correlations from single-name CDS spreads. The time profile and overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082786
(Re)insurance companies need to model their liabilities' portfolio to compute the risk-adjusted capital (RAC) needed to support their business. The RAC depends on both the distribution and the dependence functions that are applied among the risks in a portfolio. We investigate the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246898
Heteroskedastic (GARCH) process. As the association between the underlying assets may vary over time, the dynamic copula with time …-varying parameter offers a better alternative to any static model for dependence structure and even to the dynamic copula model … Shanghai and Shenzhen stock composite indexes. Results show that the option prices obtained by the time-varying copula model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750766
of parameters and we have no enough information so as to estimate all. This is the reason why the copula approach has … situations (or default in this case) under a dependence framework by selecting those copula functions with a very few number of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621625
Heteroskedastic (GARCH) process. As the association between the underlying assets may vary over time, the dynamic copula with time …-varying parameter offers a better alternative to any static model for dependence structure and even to the dynamic copula model … Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Composite Indexes. Results show that the option prices obtained by the time-varying copula model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738655