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We discuss specification, frequency domain estimation and application of flexible fractionally integrated seasonal long memory time series models, which allow for 'chi-squared' (seasonal) unit root testing. We suggest periodogram regression and approximate ML estimation. We successfully apply a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972223
-Theory- Two theories about trends in left-right political orientations are juxtaposed: the persistence theory claiming that left-right orientations are highly resistant to change versus the irrelevance theory anticipating a move of mass publics towards the center of the left-right continuum....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972274
This paper describes a parameter estimation method for both stationary and non-stationary ARFIMA (p,d,q) models, based on autoregressive approximation. We demonstrate consistency of the estimator for -1/2 d 1, and in the stationary case we provide a Normal approximation to the finite-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100960
Two important empirical features of monthly US unemployment are that shocks to the series seem rather persistent and that unemployment seems to rise faster in recessions than that it falls during expansions. To jointly capture these features of long memory and nonlinearity, respectively, we put...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005505011
, coffee, cotton, orange juice, Kansas City wheat, rubber, and palm oil. The class of fractional GARCH models, namely the … FIGARCH model of Baillie et al. (1996), FIEGACH model of Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), and FIAPARCH model of Tse (1998 …), are modelled and compared with the GARCH model of Bollerslev (1986), EGARCH model of Nelson (1991), and APARCH model of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008570627
Time series data affect many aspects of our lives. This paper highlights ten things we should all know about time series, namely: a good working knowledge of econometrics and statistics, an awareness of measurement errors, testing for zero frequency, seasonal and periodic unit roots, analysing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008484072
Though multivariate GARCH models are widely used in empirical research, their computational aspects still represent a … simultaneous equations model (SEM) with GARCH errors was considered by Engle and Kroner (1995). While there are many applications … GARCH errors to compute the corresponding ML estimators. We compare different gradient algorithms in a simulation framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342868
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345409
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345470
We investigate several aspects of GARCH(p,q) models which are relevant for empirical applications. In particular, we … note that the inclusion of a dummy variable as regressor can lead to multimodality in the GARCH likelihood. This makes … on the GARCH parameter space. We present a small refinement to the Nelson-Cao (1992) conditions for a GARCH(2,q) model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005345564