Showing 1 - 10 of 14
This paper describes a parameter estimation method for both stationary and non-stationary ARFIMA (p,d,q) models, based on autoregressive approximation. We demonstrate consistency of the estimator for -1/2 d 1, and in the stationary case we provide a Normal approximation to the finite-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100960
This paper analyzes a large class of processes for the short-term interest rate that are derived in a discrete-time equilibrium framework. The dynamics of interest rates and yields are driven by the dynamics of the conditional volatility of the state variable. Under appropriate parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100611
The paper evaluates the performance of several recently proposed change-point tests applied to conditional variance dynamics and conditional distributions of asset returns. These are CUSUM-type tests for beta-mixing processes and EDF-based tests for the residuals of such nonlinear dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100727
We consider estimates of the parameters of GARCH models of daily financial returns, obtained using intra-day (high … not exist. In particular, we consider estimation in this way of an ARCH approximation, and obtain GARCH parameters by a … estimés des paramètres des modèles GARCH pour les rendements financiers journaliers, qui sont obtenus à l'aide des données …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100771
the stochastic variance. Our class encompasses the usual GARCH models and various asymmetric GARCH models. Moreover, our … natural extension of the weak GARCH models. Our extension has four advantages: i) we do not assume that the fourth moment is … finite; ii) we allow for asymmetries (skewness, leverage effect) that are excluded by the weak GARCH models; iii) we derive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100823
This paper studies the ICAPM intertemporal relation between the conditional mean and the conditional variance of the aggregate stock market return. We introduce a new estimator that forecasts monthly variance with past daily squared returns - the Mixed Data Sampling (or MIDAS) approach. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100874
Historical and sequential CUSUM change-point tests for strongly dependent nonlinear processes are studied. These tests are used to monitor the conditional variance of asset returns and to provide early information regarding instabilities or disruptions in financial risk. Data-driven monitoring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100955
periodicity in conditional heteroskedasticity. The periodic structures in GARCH models share many properties with periodic ARMA … processes studied by Gladyshev (1961), Tiao and Grupe (1980) and others. We describe the relation between periodic GARCH … processes and time-invariant (seasonal) GARCH processes. Besides the periodic GARCH or P-GARCH process, we also discuss P …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101043
This paper presents a new model for the valuation of European options. In our model, the volatility of returns consists of two components. One of these components is a long-run component, and it can be modeled as fully persistent. The other component is short-run and has a zero mean. Our model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101069
options shows that the new Inverse Gaussian GARCH model's performance is superior to a standard existing nested model for out …-of-the money puts, thus demonstrating the importance of conditional skewness. The discrete-time Inverse Gaussian GARCH process has … sur l'indice S&P500 montre que la performance du nouveau modèle GARCH gaussien inverse est supérieure à celle des modèles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101071