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Flexible Seasonal Long Memory and Economic Time Series

Ooms, M. - Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute - 1995

We discuss specification, frequency domain estimation and application of flexible fractionally integrated seasonal long memory time series models, which allow for 'chi-squared' (seasonal) unit root testing. We suggest periodogram regression and approximate ML estimation. We successfully apply a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972223

Convergence and Persistence of Left-Right Political Orientations in The Netherlands 1978-1995

Eisinga, R.; Franses, Ph.H.B.F.; Ooms, M. - Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute - 1997

-Theory- Two theories about trends in left-right political orientations are juxtaposed: the persistence theory claiming that left-right orientations are highly resistant to change versus the irrelevance theory anticipating a move of mass publics towards the center of the left-right continuum....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972274

Autoregression-Based Estimators for ARFIMA Models

Galbraith, John; Zinde-Walsh, Victoria - Centre Interuniversitaire de Recherche en Analyse des … - 2001

This paper describes a parameter estimation method for both stationary and non-stationary ARFIMA (p,d,q) models, based on autoregressive approximation. We demonstrate consistency of the estimator for -1/2 d 1, and in the stationary case we provide a Normal approximation to the finite-sample...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100960

Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns

Tansuchat, R.; Chang, C-L.; McAleer, M.J. - Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute - 2009

, coffee, cotton, orange juice, Kansas City wheat, rubber, and palm oil. The class of fractional GARCH models, namely the … FIGARCH model of Baillie et al. (1996), FIEGACH model of Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), and FIAPARCH model of Tse (1998 …), are modelled and compared with the GARCH model of Bollerslev (1986), EGARCH model of Nelson (1991), and APARCH model of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008570627

Ten Things We Should Know About Time Series

McAleer, M.J.; Oxley, L. - Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute - 2010

Time series data affect many aspects of our lives. This paper highlights ten things we should all know about time series, namely: a good working knowledge of econometrics and statistics, an awareness of measurement errors, testing for zero frequency, seasonal and periodic unit roots, analysing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008484072

Short and Long Memory in Equilibrium Interest Rate Dynamics

Duan, Jin-Chuan; Jacobs, Kris - Centre Interuniversitaire de Recherche en Analyse des … - 2001

This paper analyzes a large class of processes for the short-term interest rate that are derived in a discrete-time equilibrium framework. The dynamics of interest rates and yields are driven by the dynamics of the conditional volatility of the state variable. Under appropriate parameter...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100611

Daily Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rates and Volatility for Korea and Taiwan

Chang, C-L.; McAleer, M.J. - Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute - 2009

the GARCH(1,1), GJR(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1) models for Korean tourist arrivals to Taiwan and the Korean Won / New Taiwan …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008570643

Daily tourist arrivals, exchange rates and volatility for Korea and Taiwan

Chang, C-L.; McAleer, M.J. - Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute - 2009

the GARCH(1,1), GJR(1,1) and EGARCH(1,1) models for Korean tourist arrivals to Taiwan and the Korean Won / New Taiwan …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008584711