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This paper analyzes the special features of electricity spot prices derived from the physics of this commodity and from the economics of supply and demand in a market pool. Besides mean-reversion, a property they share with other commodities, power prices exhibit the unique feature of spikes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166403
Time series are demeaned when sample autocorrelation functions are computed. By the same logic it would seem appealing … to remove seasonal means from seasonal time series before computing sample autocorrelation functions. Yet, standard … series are seasonally demeaned has very important consequences on the asymptotic behavior of autocorrelation functions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100761
In this paper, we develop finite-sample inference procedures for stationary and nonstationary autoregressive (AR) models. The method is based on special properties of Markov processes and a split-sample technique. The results on Markovian processes (intercalary independence and truncation) only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100872
fundamental value which cannot be inferred from the equilibrium price. Secondly, price autocorrelation can be generated only by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708652
We propose a discrete-time stochastic volatility model in which regime switching serves three purposes. First, changes in regimes capture low frequency variations, which is their traditional role. Second, they specify intermediate frequency dynamics that are usually assigned to smooth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468859