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This paper analyzes the special features of electricity spot prices derived from the physics of this commodity and from the economics of supply and demand in a market pool. Besides mean-reversion, a property they share with other commodities, power prices exhibit the unique feature of spikes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166403
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001756622
Time series are demeaned when sample autocorrelation functions are computed. By the same logic it would seem appealing … to remove seasonal means from seasonal time series before computing sample autocorrelation functions. Yet, standard … series are seasonally demeaned has very important consequences on the asymptotic behavior of autocorrelation functions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100761
In this paper, we develop finite-sample inference procedures for stationary and nonstationary autoregressive (AR) models. The method is based on special properties of Markov processes and a split-sample technique. The results on Markovian processes (intercalary independence and truncation) only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100872
fundamental value which cannot be inferred from the equilibrium price. Secondly, price autocorrelation can be generated only by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708652