We aim at modelling fat-tailed densities whose distributions are unknown but are potentially asymmetric. In this context, the standard normality assumption is not appropriate.In order to make as few distributional assumptions as possible, we use a non-parametric algorithm to model the center of...

This paper analyzes the special features of electricity spot prices derived from the physics of this commodity and from the economics of supply and demand in a market pool. Besides mean-reversion, a property they share with other commodities, power prices exhibit the unique feature of spikes in...

In this paper, we develop finite-sample inference procedures for stationary and nonstationary autoregressive (AR) models. The method is based on special properties of Markov processes and a split-sample technique. The results on Markovian processes (intercalary independence and truncation) only...