Showing 1 - 10 of 42
We assess the predictive accuracy of a large number of multivariate volatility models in terms of pricing options on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. We measure the value of model sophistication in terms of dollar losses by considering a set 248 multivariate models that differ in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652126
of unknown order. The estimators follow from a reverse inference approach, based on the class of distribution-free sign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855591
GARCH volatility models with fixed parameters are too restrictive for long time series due to breaks in the volatility process. Flexible alternatives are Markov-switching GARCH and change-point GARCH models. They require estimation by MCMC methods due to the path dependence problem. An unsolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395940
that it generalizes standard stochastic volatility models by allowing for "jumps"" and other fat-tailed negative movements … in stock returns. The empirical results therefore also demonstrate the importance of jumps for the pricing of out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101071
Realized variance can be broken down into continuous volatility and jumps. We show that these two components have very … medium to long-term risk-return relationships, jumps do not predict future medium- to long-term excess returns. We use … inference methods robust to persistent predictors in a multi-horizon setup. That is, we use a rescaled Student-t to test for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011183687
In this paper we propose a generic procedure for estimating and pricing options in the context of stochastic volatility models using simultaneously the fundamental price and a set of option contracts. We appraise univariate and multivariate estimation of the model in terms of pricing and hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100549
Unlike European-type derivative securities, there are no simple analytic valuation formulas for American options, even when the underlying asset price has constant volatility. The early exercise feature considerably complicates the valuation of American contracts. The strategy taken in this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100553
Many continuous time term structure of interest rate models assume a factor structure where the drift and volatility functions are affine functions of the state variable process. These models involve very specific parametric choices of factors and functional specifications of the drift and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100561
Understanding the dynamics of interest rates and the term structure has important implications for issues as diverse as real economic activity, monetary policy, pricing of interest rate derivative securities and public debt financing. Our paper follows a longstanding tradition of using factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100562
random intensity jumps. Previous studies have focussed primarily on pure jump processes with constant intensity and log …-normal jumps or constant jump intensity combined with a one factor stochastic volatility model. We introduce several …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100581