Showing 1 - 10 of 51
process. Flexible alternatives are Markov-switching GARCH and change-point GARCH models. They require estimation by MCMC … essential for determining the number of regimes or change-points. We solve the problem by using particle MCMC, a technique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395940
This paper compares the forecasting performance of different models which have been proposed for forecasting in the presence of structural breaks. These models differ in their treatment of the break process, the parameters defining the model which applies in each regime and the out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805568
In this paper we propose a generic procedure for estimating and pricing options in the context of stochastic volatility models using simultaneously the fundamental price and a set of option contracts. We appraise univariate and multivariate estimation of the model in terms of pricing and hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100549
The purpose of this paper is to propose a new class of jump diffusions which feature both stochastic volatility and random intensity jumps. Previous studies have focussed primarily on pure jump processes with constant intensity and log-normal jumps or constant jump intensity combined with a one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100581
This paper evaluates the role of various volatility specifications, such as multiple stochastic volatility (SV) factors and jump components, in appropriate modeling of equity return distributions. We use estimation technology that facilitates non-nested model comparisons and use a long data set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100991
Stochastic volatility models, aka SVOL, are more difficult to estimate than standard time-varying volatility models (ARCH). Advances in the literature now offer well tested estimators for a basic univariate SVOL model. However, the basic model is too restrictive for many economic and finance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100719
joint posterior distribution of the volatilities and the parameters which we simulate via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC … méthodes de Chaînes de Markov et de Monte Carlo (MCMC). Notre approche fournit aussi une analyse de sensitivité pour les …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100767
We propose estimators for the parameters of a linear median regression without any assumption on the shape of the error distribution including no condition on the existence of moments allowing for heterogeneity (or heteroskedasticity) of unknown form, noncontinuous distributions, and very...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855591
In recent years multivariate models for asset returns have received much attention, in particular this is the case for models with time varying volatility. In this paper we consider models of this class and examine their potential when it comes to option pricing. Specifically, we derive the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506122
While stochastic volatility models improve on the option pricing error when compared to the Black-Scholes-Merton model, mispricings remain. This paper uses mixed normal heteroskedasticity models to price options. Our model allows for significant negative skewness and time varying higher order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100954