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Historical and sequential CUSUM change-point tests for strongly dependent nonlinear processes are studied. These tests are used to monitor the conditional variance of asset returns and to provide early information regarding instabilities or disruptions in financial risk. Data-driven monitoring...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100955
The risk-return trade-off being the very substance of finance, volatility has always been an essential parameter for portfolio management. Moreover, the generalization of the use of derivatives has placed in the forefront the concept of volatility risk: i.e. the model risk generated by treating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100999
) ARCH, GARCH and ARCH-in-mean alternatives; (2) the case where the variance increases monotonically with: (i) one exogenous … expériences de Monte Carlo que nous effectuons portent sur: (1) les alternatives de type ARCH, GARCH and ARCH-en-moyenne; (2) le …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101027
periodicity in conditional heteroskedasticity. The periodic structures in GARCH models share many properties with periodic ARMA … processes studied by Gladyshev (1961), Tiao and Grupe (1980) and others. We describe the relation between periodic GARCH … processes and time-invariant (seasonal) GARCH processes. Besides the periodic GARCH or P-GARCH process, we also discuss P …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101043
This paper presents a new model for the valuation of European options. In our model, the volatility of returns consists of two components. One of these components is a long-run component, and it can be modeled as fully persistent. The other component is short-run and has a zero mean. Our model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101069
options shows that the new Inverse Gaussian GARCH model's performance is superior to a standard existing nested model for out …-of-the money puts, thus demonstrating the importance of conditional skewness. The discrete-time Inverse Gaussian GARCH process has … sur l'indice S&P500 montre que la performance du nouveau modèle GARCH gaussien inverse est supérieure à celle des modèles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101071
documented with statistical tools such as exceedance correlation, extreme value theory, and Gaussian bivariate GARCH or regime … modèles GARCH bivarié en langage Gauss ou avec changement de régime. Nous signalons les limites de ces outils pour …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005052205
. Simulation studies are conducted for European and Asian call options using both the Black and Scholes and GARCH option pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627153
stocks; the generalized distribution is used for the standardized innovations in a nonlinear, asymmetric GARCH-type model … contenues dans un modèle asymétrique non linéaire de type GARCH. Les résultats démontrent de façon empirique l'utilité de la …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100754
This paper proposes a new class of asymmetric Student-t (AST) distributions, and investigates its properties, gives procedures for estimation, and indicates applications in financial econometrics. We derive analytical expressions for the cdf, quantile function, moments, and quantities useful in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100864