We consider the problem of testing whether the observations X1, · · ·, Xn of a time series are independent with unspecified (possibly nonidentical) distributions symmetric about a common known median. Various bounds on the distributions of serial correlation coefficients are proposed:...

In this paper, we develop finite-sample inference procedures for stationary and nonstationary autoregressive (AR) models. The method is based on special properties of Markov processes and a split-sample technique. The results on Markovian processes (intercalary independence and truncation) only...

Nonlinearities in the drift and diffusion coefficients influence temporal dependence in scalar diffusion models. We study this link using two notions of temporal dependence: β−mixing and ρ−mixing. Weshow that β−mixing and ρ−mixing with exponential decay are essentially equivalent...

In this paper, we consider testing marginal normal distributional assumptions. More precisely, we propose tests based on moment conditions implied by normality. These moment conditions are known as the Stein (1972) equations. They coincide with the first class of moment conditions derived by...

Simulation-based estimation methods have become more widely used in recent years. We propose a set of tests for structural change in models estimates via Simulated Method of Moments (see Duffie and Singleton (1993)). These tests extend the recent work of Andrews (1993) and Sowell (1996a, b)...

We consider the problem of determining the horizon beyond which forecasts from time series models of stationary processes add nothing to the forecast implicit in the conditional mean. We refer to this as the content horizon for forecasts, and define a forecast content function at horizons s = 1,...

Several estimation procedures such as the Efficient Method of Moments (EMM) of Gallant and Tauchen (1996) and Indirect Inference procedure of Gouriéroux, Monfort and Renault (1993) involve two models, an auxiliary one and a model of interest. The role played by both models poses challenges and...

Recent studies on general equilibrium models with transaction costs show that the dynamics of the real exchange rate are necessarily nonlinear. Our contribution to the literature on nonlinear price adjustment mechanisms is treefold. First, we model the real exchange rate by a Multi-Regime...

This paper illustrates the usefulness of resampling based methods in the context of multiple (simultaneous) tests, with emphasis on econometric applications. Economic theory often suggests joint (or simultaneous) hypotheses on econometric models; consequently, the problem of evaluating joint...

Much of the research describing the cross-sectional and time series behavior of asset returns can be characterized as a search for the relevant state variables and also a search for the relevant model specification. Ultimately the scope of such efforts is to find a satisfactory and stable asset...