Understanding and measuring the relative roles of different causal channels between commodity prices and exchange rates has important implications in financial decision making, especially for market participants with short horizons. From a macroeconomic perspective, this can also be useful for...

We ask whether young agents prefer to work in different-age or same-age production pairs in an overlapping-generations model where wages are reputation-based. We find that inter-generational teams (i) produce more heterogeneity in the old workers' reputations, (ii) generate a greater share of...

We use a real option approach to determine optimally when a social planner has to stop or resume logging in situations where an endangered species relies on forest habitat for its survival, and that habitat evolves stochastically. The model incorporates economic, ecological and social features,...

Nous présentons dans ce document la conception et la structure de compas, un modèle de microsimulation dynamique portant sur l’état et l’utilisation de soins de santé des Québécois. Ce modèle comporte deux dimensions importantes : un composante dynamique, qui permet une évolution de...

We provide results for the valuation of European style contingent claims for a large class of specifications of the underlying asset returns. Our valuation results obtain in a discrete time, infinite state-space setup using the no-arbitrage principle and an equivalent martingale measure. Our...

Equity risk measured by beta is of great interest to both academics and practitioners. Existing estimates of beta use historical returns. Many studies have found option-implied volatility to be a strong predictor of future realized volatility. We .nd that option-implied volatility and skewness...

Standard empirical investigations of jump dynamics in returns and volatility are fairly complicated due to the presence of latent continuous-time factors. We present a new discrete-time framework that combines heteroskedastic processes with rich specifications of jumps in returns and volatility....

Many continuous time term structure of interest rate models assume a factor structure where the drift and volatility functions are affine functions of the state variable process. These models involve very specific parametric choices of factors and functional specifications of the drift and...

Understanding the dynamics of interest rates and the term structure has important implications for issues as diverse as real economic activity, monetary policy, pricing of interest rate derivative securities and public debt financing. Our paper follows a longstanding tradition of using factor...

This paper uses panel data and Euler equations to estimate preference specifications that are nonseparable in consumption and leisure. The econometric analysis uses panel data, and therefore it differs from existing econometric studies that use a representative agent framework. Moreover, the...