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This paper proposes finite-sample procedures for testing the SURE specification in multi-equation regression models, i.e. whether the disturbances in different equations are contemporaneously uncorrelated or not. We apply the technique of Monte Carlo (MC) tests [Dwass (1957), Barnard (1963)] to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100560
This paper illustrates the usefulness of resampling based methods in the context of multiple (simultaneous) tests, with emphasis on econometric applications. Economic theory often suggests joint (or simultaneous) hypotheses on econometric models; consequently, the problem of evaluating joint...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100723
The technique of Monte Carlo (MC) tests [Dwass (1957), Barnard (1963)] provides an attractive method of building exact tests from statistics whose finite sample distribution is intractable but can be simulated (provided it does not involve nuisance parameters). We extend this method in two ways:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100868
A wide range of tests for heteroskedasticity have been proposed in the econometric and statistics literatures. Although a few exact homoskedasticity tests are available, the commonly employed procedures are quite generally based on asymptotic approximations which may not provide good size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101027
We provide a generalization of the Anderson-Rubin (AR) procedure for inference on parameters which represent the dependence between possibly endogenous explanatory variables and disturbances in a linear structural equation (endogeneity parameters). We focus on second-order dependence and stress...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011183777
We propose methods for testing hypothesis of non-causality at various horizons, as defined in Dufour and Renault (1998, Econometrica). We study in detail the case of VAR models and we propose linear methods based on running vector autoregressions at different horizons. While the hypotheses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100843
theory assumes that return shocks can be caused by changes in conditional volatility through a time-varying risk premium. On … between implied and realized volatilities (the variance risk premium) and we find that a positive variance risk premium (an … anticipated increase in variance) has more impact on returns than a negative variance risk premium. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855592
allows to consistently estimate the risk neutral dynamics with a manageable computational effort in relatively large scale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652126
GARCH volatility models with fixed parameters are too restrictive for long time series due to breaks in the volatility process. Flexible alternatives are Markov-switching GARCH and change-point GARCH models. They require estimation by MCMC methods due to the path dependence problem. An unsolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395940
to option pricing. Specifically, we derive the risk neutral dynamics for a general class of multivariate heteroskedastic … allowing this correlation to be dynamic. Moreover, we show that for the general model exposure to correlation risk carries an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506122