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The Impact of Monetary and Commodity Fundamentals, Macro News and Central Bank Communication on the Exchange Rate: Evidence from South Africa
Égert, Balázs - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009
This paper studies drivers of high-frequency (daily) dynamics of the South African rand vis-à-vis the dollar from January 2001 to July 2007. We find strong nonlinear effects of commodity prices, perceived country and emerging market risk premium and changes in the dollar-euro exchange rate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046067
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Towards a Flexible Exchange Rate Policy in Russia
Beck, Roland; Barnard, Geoff - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009
reduce inflation and limit the real appreciation of the rouble. Given the strength of Russia’s balance of payments during the … interventions which were only partially sterilised. As a result, inflation remained persistently high. During the global financial … greater exchange rate flexibility should be permitted since (i) commodity exporting countries can successfully run inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498033
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Strengthening the Macroeconomic Policy Framework in South Africa
Lysenko, Tatiana; Barnard, Geoff - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2011
resilient to external shocks. Enhancing the credibility of the inflation target would provide the monetary authorities with more …. Améliorer la crédibilité de l’objectif d’inflation donnerait aux autorités monétaires plus de latitude pour réagir aux chocs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854030
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The Price Theory of Money, Prospero's Liquidity Trap, and Sudden Stop: Back to Basics and Back
Calvo, Guillermo - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2012
Fiat money contains the seeds of its own destruction. It has no intrinsic value and, yet, it can be exchanged for valuable consumption and production goods. As Hahn (1965) shows, this situation puts fiat money's market value or liquidity premium at the brink of collapse. In this paper I will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796587
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Noisy Information, Distance and Law of One Price Dynamics Across US Cities
Crucini, Mario John; Shintani, Mototsugu; Tsuruga, Takayuki - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2012
Using micro price data across US cities, we provide evidence that both the volatility and persistence of deviations from the law of one price (LOP) are positively correlated with the distance between cities. A standard, two-city, equilibrium model with time-varying technology under homogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652890
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What Does Futures Market Interest Tell Us about the Macroeconomy and Asset Prices?
Hong, Harrison; Yogo, Motohiro - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2011
Economists have traditionally viewed futures prices as fully informative about future economic activity and asset prices. We argue that open interest could be more informative than futures prices in the presence of hedging demand and limited risk absorption capacity in futures markets. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805020
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Volatility and Pass-through
Berger, David; Vavra, Joseph S. - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2013
What drives countercyclical volatility? A large literature has documented that many economic variables are more disperse in recessions, but this could either occur because shocks get bigger or because firms respond more to shocks which are the same size. Existing evidence that the dispersion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950688
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The Benefits and Costs of Highly Expansionary Monetary Policy
Rawdanowicz, Łukasz; Bouis, Romain; Watanabe, Shingo - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2013
costs could rise due to excessive risk-taking; higher inflation expectations; higher likelihood of ever-greening; and higher … pourraient croître en raison d’une prise de risques excessive ; d’anticipations d’inflation plus élevées ; d’une plus grande …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276907
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Accounting for Persistence and Volatility of Good-Level Real Exchange Rates: The Role of Sticky Information
Crucini, Mario John; Shintani, Mototsugu; Tsuruga, Takayuki - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2008
Volatile and persistent real exchange rates are observed not only in aggregate series but also in the individual good level data. Kehoe and Midrigan (2007) recently showed that, under a standard assumption on nominal price stickiness, empirical frequencies of micro price adjustment cannot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005778645
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The Stock-Flow Approach to the Real Exchange Rate of CEE Transition Economies
Egert, Balazs; Lahrèche-Révil, Amina; Lommatzsch, Kirsten - Centre d'études prospectives et d'informations … - 2004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005607369