Showing 1 - 10 of 15
inflation to the forefront of policy concerns. Those concerns will only grow as aging populations increase demands on government …, through which fiscal deficits directly affect inflation. The paper describes various ways in which fiscal policy can directly … affect inflation and explains why these fiscal effects are difficult to detect in time series data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654186
The paper explores the macroeconomic consequences of fiscal consolidations whose timing and composition are uncertain. Drawing on the evidence in Alesina and Ardagna (2010), we emphasize whether or not the fiscal consolidation is driven by tax rises or expenditure cuts. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493268
taxation, modest inflation, and some reneging on the government's promised transfers. In the equilibrium, inflation …-targeting monetary policy cannot successfully anchor expected inflation. Expectational effects are always present, but need not have … large impacts on inflation and interest rates in the short and medium runs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008601671
Increases in government spending trigger substitution effects--both inter- and intra-temporal--and a wealth effect. The ultimate impacts on the economy hinge on current and expected monetary and fiscal policy behavior. Studies that impose active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005040646
We consider price level determination from the perspective of portfolio choice. Arbitrages among money balances, bonds, and investment goods determine their relative demands. Returns to real balance holdings (transactions services), the nominal interest rate, and after-tax returns to investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710648
This paper makes changes in monetary policy rules (or regimes) endogenous. Changes are triggered when certain endogenous variables cross specified thresholds. Rational expectations equilibria are examined in three models of threshold switching to illustrate that (i) expectations formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089295
The paper presents the fiscal theory of the price level in a variety of models, including endowment economies with lump-sum taxes and production economies with proportional income taxes. We offer a microeconomic perspective on the fiscal theory by computing a Slutsky-Hicks decomposition of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005049984
An asset-pricing perspective on inflation reveals that it depends on current and expected monetary and fiscal policies … rates of return of these assets, and determine the price level and the inflation rate. The paper considers a tax reduction … cut can imply very different outcomes for inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005588977
current and future inflation innovations to revalue government debt, reducing reliance on distorting taxes; (2) the role of … inflation in optimal fiscal financing increases with the average maturity of government debt; (3) as average maturity rises, it … is optimal to tradeoff inflation for output stabilization; (4) inflation is relatively more important as a fiscal shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010717782
appreciable risk of default or higher inflation. But governments in advanced economies issue substantial nominal debt and nominal … devalued through higher current and future inflation rates. The paper develops a simple bond market supply-demand apparatus to … explain how fiscal policy can be a source of inflation, while monetary policy merely determines the timing of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821921