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Central bank currency swaps (CBCS) allow central banks to provide foreign currency liquidity to the commercial banks in their jurisdictions. Since the end of 2007, these swaps have emerged as a de facto key feature of the international monetary system (IMS), with the US Federal Reserve (FED)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938573
on smooth transition regression models, we show that default risk fuels the carry-trade gains during periods of upbeat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009358500
This paper investigates the links between price returns for 25 commodities and stocks over the period from January 2001 to November 2011, by paying a particular attention to energy raw materials. Relying on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH methodology, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604039
We show that the negative impact of financial crises on trade is magnified for destinations with longer time-to-ship. A simple model where exporters react to an increase in the probability of default of importers by increasing their export price and decreasing their export volumes to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604049
This paper looks into the role of gold as a safe haven against stocks during recessions and bear markets. Following Baur and McDermott (2010) and Baur and Lucey (2010), we characterize safe havens by their negative correlations with stocks during crises. We extend their results in three ways....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008472422
The huge positions on the credit default swaps (CDS) have raised concerns about the ability of the market to settle major entities’ defaults. The near-failure of AIG and the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in 2008 have revealed the exposure of CDS’s buyers to counterparty risk and hence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008472423
We analyse the links between credit default swap (CDS) and bond spreads and try to determine which one is the leading market in the price discovery process. To do that, we construct a sample of CDS premia and bonds spreads on a generic 5-year bond, for 17 financials and 18 sovereigns. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861800
market volatility, especially in Mexico. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008455799
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005243439
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