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This paper aims at investigating the interactions between three key macroeconomic imbalances, namely Global imbalances,current-account discrepancies (external imbalances), output gaps (internal imbalances), and exchange-rate misalignments. To this end, we rely on the estimation of a panel VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010827750
We assess the evolution of real exchange rate misalignments within the euro area from a Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate (FEER) approach. We test the robustness of the results by comparing three different estimations of the output gap. Whatever the output gap assumption, Southern countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010827753
This paper aims at studying current-account imbalances by paying a particular attention to exchange-rate misalignments. We rely on a nonlinear model linking the persistence of current account imbalances to the deviation of the exchange rate to its equilibrium value. Estimating a panel smooth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698932
Most studies on equilibrium exchange rates focus on a limited number of G7 countries. But in a situation of world imbalances, emerging countries can no longer be excluded. The study of all equilibrium exchange rates is delicate. First, the trade model has to be balanced at the aggregate level....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008464318
This paper investigates the links between price returns for 25 commodities and stocks over the period from January 2001 to November 2011, by paying a particular attention to energy raw materials. Relying on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH methodology, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604039
We analyse the links between credit default swap (CDS) and bond spreads and try to determine which one is the leading market in the price discovery process. To do that, we construct a sample of CDS premia and bonds spreads on a generic 5-year bond, for 17 financials and 18 sovereigns. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861800
This paper studies the impact of global financial turmoil on the exchange rate policies in emerging countries. Many emerging countries have loosened the link of their currencies to the US dollar since the bursting of the subprime crisis in July 2007. Spillovers from advanced financial markets to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008515824
The location of financial activities is traditionally characterized by a great deal of inertia. However, the 2007-10 crisis may considerably modify the geography of finance and cause an upheaval in world hierarchy. The crisis hit the Western countries directly and the main financial centers have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008472424
In a fixed exchange-rate regime, monetary policy is not devoted to internal equilibrium, such that the Taylor principle is no more the condition to insure the determinacy of the dynamic. Monetary policy is in charge of stabilizing the fixed-exchange rate regime in the long run, i.e. to avoid an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391586
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062863