This paper investigates the relative performance of two expected market-clearing models vis-à-vis inflation and interest rates dynamics. It is shown that neither a limited participation model, nor a predetermined price model can completely explain the stylized facts regarding nominal dynamics....

This paper examines the efficiency of the Canadian treasury bill market as measured by the performance of the expectations model of the term structure of interest rates. In particular, market efficiency is shown to depend upon certain institutional features of the treasury bill auction process....

This survey covers the major methods used to forecast interest rates. The theoretical underpinings are presented and discussed in the perspective of forecast accuracy using results published in the literature. A basic review of interest rate modeling is also provided. <P> Ce survol couvre les...</p>

Empirical studies reveal that monetary policy shocks generate long-lasting effects on real GDP, countercyclical real wages before World War II and procyclical real wages afterwards. In this paper, we construct a dynamic general equilibrium model to explain the observed output persistence and the...

Multi-country models have not been very successful in replicating important features of the international transmission of business cycles. This paper extends previous work by introducing multiple sectors and traded intermediate inputs. Trade in intermediate goods represents approximately 60% of...

Using aggregate US and Canadian data, this paper examines the implications for the empirical assessment of market structure and exogeneity of productivity shocks of correcting the Solow residual for variation in capacity utilization. In contrast to most studies, not accounting for capacity...

We analyze a stochastic general equilibrium model which incorporates three different types of government expenditure. We calibrate the model and simulate it under the hypotheses of divisible and indivisible labor supply. Our results indicate that the addition of government expenditure shocks to...

We estimate an optimization-based model with sticky prices alone (SP model) and one that combines nominal and real rigidities in the form of costly price and labor adjustments (NRR model) over the U.S. postwar time period. We then compare their ability to generate persistent, positive, responses...

We present and assess a procedure to evaluate dynamic, stochastic, general equilibrium macroeconomic models when agents in the economy use an information set superior to that used by researchers. <P> Cette étude présente et documente une procédure d'évaluation de modèles macroéconomiques...</p>

Business cycle statistics differ widely across countries, especially for trade-related variables. Part of these variations relates to the size of the economies and to their distance from each other. This paper asks whether a three-country model is able to display the marked diversity of business...