We apply uni- and multivariate unobserved components models to the study of European growth cycles. The multivariate dimension enables to search similar or, more strongly, common components among national GDP series (quarterly data from 1960 to 1999). Three successive ways to exhibit the...

This paper assesses the transmission of ECB monetary policies, conventional and unconventional, to both interest rates and lending volumes for the money market, sovereign bonds at 6 month, 5ear and 10 year horizons, loans inferior and superior to 1M€ to non financial corporations, cash and...

EMU countries have engaged in a consolidation of fiscal policies since 2011. This paper deals with the public debt and output dynamic consequences of this strategy. To thisend, we develop a simple macroeconomic modelof the Euro area, where fiscal multipliers time-varying. Recent empirical...

This paper aims at investigating first the (possibly time-varying) empirical relationship between the level and conditional variances of price and financial stability, and second, the effects of macro and policy variables on this relationship in the United States and the Eurozone. Three...

This paper aims at establishing the link between economic performance, financial depth and financial stability in the European Union from 1998 to 2011. We use the standard framework both in terms of variables and econometric method of Beck and Levine (2004) to estimate these relationships. Our...

This paper contributes to the debate on the French public finances'consolidation by investigating the long-term sustainability of France’s fiscal position. We trace the historical trends of government’s tax receipts and expenditures. We find that while the level of public expenditure in...