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How accurate do markets predict the outcome of an event? : the Euro 2000 soccer championships experiment
Schmidt, Carsten; Werwatz, Axel - 2002 - Rev.
For the Euro 2000 Soccer Championships an experimental asset market was condueted, with traders buying and selling contracts on the winners of individual matches. Market-generated probabilities are compared to professional bet quotas, and factors that are responsible for the quality of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621415
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Forecasting performance of market share attraction models : a comparison of different models assuming that competitors’ actions are forecasts
Klapper, Daniel; Herwartz, Helmut - 1998
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578563
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Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth
Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001
To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950
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Forecasting cointegrated VARMA processes
Lütkepohl, Helmut - 1999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581104
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Backtesting beyond VaR
Härdle, Wolfgang; Stahl, Gerhard - 1999
VaR models are related to statistical forecast systems. Within that framework different forecast tasks including Value-at-Risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582401
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Nonparametric estimation in a nonlinear cointegration type model
Karlsen, Hans Arnfinn; Myklebust, Terje; Tjostheim, Dag - 2000
We derive an asymptotic theory of nonparametric estimation for an nonlinear transfer function model Z(t) = f (Xt) + Wt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583888
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Proxying for expected returns with price earnings ratios
Strunk Hansen, Charlotte (contributor);  … - 2004 - [Elektronische Resource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002491493
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Testing the martingale restriction for option implied densities
Busch, Thomas (contributor) - 2004 - [Elektronische Resource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002491622
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Sequential monitoring of the statistical properties of the univariate affine diffusion with application to interest
Schmid, Wolfgang (contributor);  … - 2004 - [Elektronische Resource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002491667
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Parametric inference for diffusion processes observed at discrete points in time : a survey
Sørensen, Helle (contributor) - 2002 - [Elektronische Resource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001702316