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The macroeconomic analysis of fiscal policy is usually based on one of two canonical models--the Barro-Ramsey model of infinitely-lived families or the Diamond-Samuelson model of overlapping generations. This paper argues that neither model is satisfactory and suggests an alternative. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471204
or unsound argument'. The 'fiscal theory of the price level', recently re-developed by Woodford, Cochrane, Sims and … proponents of the fiscal theory of the price level do not accept the fundamental proposition that the government's intertemporal …. Policy conclusions could be drawn from the fiscal theory of the price level that would be harmful if they influenced the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471482
The paper considers ways of avoiding a liquidity trap and ways of getting out of one. Unless lower short nominal interest rates are associated with significantly lower interest volatility, a lower average rate of inflation, which will be associated with lower expected nominal interest rates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471545
Fluctuations in real GNP have traditionally been viewed as transitory deviations from a deterministic time trend. The purpose of this paper is to review some of the recent developments that have led to a new view of output fluctuations and then to provide some additional evidence. Using post-war...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476900
borrowing. There is not yet any "deep structural" theory justifying the (exogenous) lower bounds on the stock of foreign … exchange reserves characteristic of the collapsing exchange rate literature. Absent such a theory of "international liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477028
Debt neutrality is said to occur if, given a program for public spending on current goods and services over time, the real equilibrium of the economy (private consumption, investment, relative prices, etc.) is independent of the pattern of government borrowing and lump-sum taxation over time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477043
The paper considers the response of a small, open dependent economy to a variety of fiscal and financial shocks as well as the influence of alternative budget balancing rules on the response of the system to such external shocks as a change in the world interest rate. The approach allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477047
In this paper, we re-examine the standard analysis of the short-run effect of a personal tax cut. If consumer spending generates more money demand than other components of GNP, then tax cuts may, by increasing the demand for money, depress aggregate demand. We examine a variety of evidence and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477645
The paper studies the effects of alternative financing policies in the open economy.There is a non-trivial role for financial policy because of the failure of first-order debt neutrality due to uncertain private lifetimes. Both the single-country case and the interdependent two-country case are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477660
The paper develops a forward-looking comprehensive accounting framework for the public sector.By integrating the public sector budget constraint forward in time the government's present value budget constraint (PVBC) is obtained. In addition to the familiar financial assets and liabilities,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477762