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I revisit the potential costs and benefits for Sweden of joining the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) of the European Union. I first show that the Swedish business cycle since the mid-1990s has been closely correlated with the Euro area economies, suggesting that common shocks have been an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464128
. Banks maximize profits, and there are no conflicts of interest between bank shareholders and creditors. The theory explains …, banks make loans, securitize these loans, trade in them, or hold cash. They can also borrow money, using their security … holdings as collateral. We embed such banks in a stylized financial market, in which securitized loans may be mispriced, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463705
It is well known that high-frequency asset returns are fat-tailed relative to the Gaussian distribution tails are typically reduced but not eliminated when returns are standardized by volatilities estimated from popular models such as GARCH. We consider two major dollar exchange rates, and we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471288
central banks in the absence of any formal arrangements among their governments to limit exchange rate volatility. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471348
A gravity model is used to assess the separate effects of exchange rate volatility and currency unions on international trade. The panel data set used includes bilateral observations for five years spanning 1970 through 1990 for 186 countries. In this data set, there are over one hundred...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471350
volatility, the deregulation was associated with a convergence of Japanese quoted spreads toward those of other banks. (2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471543
Using high-frequency data on Deutschemark and Yen returns against the dollar, we construct model-free estimates of daily exchange rate volatility and correlation, covering an entire decade. In addition to being model-free, our estimates are also approximately free of measurement error under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471846
This paper analyzes the impact of exchange rate risk on global food supply chains. Although the theoretical literature suggests ambivalence regarding the sign and magnitude of this effect, most empirical studies indicate a negative association between exchange rate volatility and international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616612
In 1981 real interest rates in the United States increased spectacularly, and the dollar appreciated in real terms by about 20 percent. Since the end of 1981, long-term real interest rates have remained in the range of 5-10 percent, with nominal long rates above short rates. The dollar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477299
The present paper is intended to accomplish two tasks. First, models predicting overshooting and magnification, respectively, will be checked for their consistency with two key empirical regularities: A. The observed pattern of price level vs. exchange-rate volatility. B. The observed pattern of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478498