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Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns

Guzman, Giselle C. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008

This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399

Admissible clustering of aggregator components: a necessary and sufficient stochastic semi-nonparametric test for weak separability

Barnett, William A.; de Peretti, Philippe - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008

In aggregation theory, the admissibility condition for clustering together components to be aggregated is blockwise weak separability, which also is the condition needed to separate out sectors of the economy. Although weak separability is thereby of central importance in aggregation and index...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623356

Time Preference and the Distributions of Wealth and Income

Suen, Richard M. H. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010

This paper presents a dynamic competitive equilibrium model in which heterogeneity in time preferences alone can …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008684875

Efectos heterogéneos en la demanda ante un impuesto al refresco en México

Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero; Sosa-Rubí, Sandra; … - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013

heterogeneity of the demand of soft-drinks related to poverty and the level of consumption of soft-drinks. It has also been …, considering average consumers. If governments are considering excise taxes on soft drinks to prevent obesity, heterogeneity of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123513

Commuters' Preferences for Fast and Reliable Travel

Koster, Paul; Koster, Hans - Tinbergen Instituut - 2013

We employ a semi-parametric estimation approach to analyse observed and unobserved heterogeneity in the value of … heterogeneity in preferences in a flexible way, meaning that we do not put any structure on how individual characteristics (such as …, we illustrate the estimation approach and find that there is substantial heterogeneity in the value of savings in travel …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271951

Opportunity cost, excess profit, and counterfactual conditionals

Magni, Carlo Alberto - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2003

Counterfactual conditionals are cognitive tools that we incessantly use during our lives for judgments, evaluations, decisions. Counterfactuals are used for defining concepts as well; an instance of this is attested by the notions of opportunity cost and excess profit, two all-pervasive notions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005620200

FuelWatch: evidence-based-policy or policy based evidence?

Harding, Don - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008

Experience from the United Kingdom and the United States suggests that expert evidence is often reshaped and repackaged by governments so that it supports existing policy rather than informing policy decisions. The Australian government based its decision to introduce FuelWatch on evidence in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323463

Regional consumption inequalities in Jordan: Empirical study

Shahateet, Mohammed; Al-Tayyeb, Saud - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007

The objective of this study is to test regional economic inequalities in Jordan. The methodology has been profoundly influenced by the statistical approach of Analyses Of Variance (ANOVA). This approach tests regional variations in consumption on governorates level. The Least Significant...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107893

A K-sample Homogeneity Test based on the Quantification of the p-p Plot

Hinloopen, Jeroen; Wagenvoort, Rien; Marrewijk, Charles van - Tinbergen Instituut - 2008

We propose a quantification of the p-p plot that assigns equal weight to all distances between the respective distributions: the surface between the p-p plot and the diagonal. This surface is labelled the Harmonic Weighted Mass (HWM) index. We introduce the diagonal-deviation (d-d) plot that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255562

Out-of-sample Comparison of Copula Specifications in Multivariate Density Forecasts

Diks, Cees; Panchenko, Valentyn; Dijk, Dick van - Tinbergen Instituut - 2008

This discussion paper resulted in a publication in the Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 34(9), 1596-1609. We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256012

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