This paper proposes a formal model selection test for choosing between two competing structural econometric models. The procedure is based on a novel lack-of-fit criterion, namely, the simulated mean squared error of predictions (SMSEP), taking into account the complexity of structural...

Applied researchers often need to estimate confidence intervals for functions of parameters, such as the effects of counterfactual policy changes. If the function is continuously differentiable and has non-zero and bounded derivatives, then they can use the delta method. However, if the function...

This paper studies the problem of specification testing in partially indentified models defined by a finite number of moment equalities and inequalities (i.e., (in)equalities). Under the null hypothesis, there is at least one parameter value that simultaneously satisfies all of the moment...

This paper develops maximum score estimation of preference parameters in the binary choice model under uncertainty in which the decision rule is affected by conditional expectations. The preference parameters are estimated in two stages: we estimate conditional expectations nonparametrically in...

The generalized method of moments estimator may be substantially biased in finite samples, especially so when there are large numbers of unconditional moment conditions. This paper develops a class of first order equivalent semi-parametric efficient estimators and tests for conditional moment...

This paper gives an account of the recent literature on estimating models for panel count data. Specifically, the treatment of unobserved individual heterogeneity that is correlated with the explanatory variables and the presence of explanatory variables that are not strictly exogenous are...

<p><p><p>The system GMM estimator for dynamic panel data models combines moment conditions for the model in first differences with moment conditions for the model in levels. It has been shown to improve on the GMM estimator in the first differenced model in terms of bias and root mean squared error....</p></p></p>

In parametric models a sufficient condition for local idenfication is that the vector of moment is differentiable at the true parameter with full rank derivative matrix. This paper shows that additional conditions are often needed in nonlinear, nonparametric models to avoid nonlinearities...

We develop a practical and novel method for inference on intersection bounds, namely bounds defined by either the infimum or supremum of a parametric or nonparametric function, or equivalently, the value of a linear programming problem with a potentially infinite constraint set. We show that...

We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality for a class of estimators that are linear combinations of a set of v n- consistent estimators whose cardinality increases with sample size. A special case of our framework corresponds to the conditional moment restriction and the implied...