This paper proposes efficient estimators of risk measures in a semiparametric GARCH model defined through moment constraints. Moment constraints are often used to identify and estimate the mean and variance parameters and are however discarded when estimating error quantiles. In order to prevent...

The so-called leverage hypothesis is that negative shocks to prices/returns affect volatility more than equal positive shocks. Whether this is attributable to changing financial leverage is still subject to dispute but the terminology is in wide use. There are many tests of the leverage...

The so-called leverage hypothesis is that negative shocks to prices/ returns affect volatility more than equal positive shocks. Whether this is attributable to changing financial leverage is still subject to dispute but the terminology is in wide use. There are many tests of the leverage...

Applied researchers often need to estimate confidence intervals for functions of parameters, such as the effects of counterfactual policy changes. If the function is continuously differentiable and has non-zero and bounded derivatives, then they can use the delta method. However, if the function...

This paper studies the problem of specification testing in partially indentified models defined by a finite number of moment equalities and inequalities (i.e., (in)equalities). Under the null hypothesis, there is at least one parameter value that simultaneously satisfies all of the moment...

This paper proposes a formal model selection test for choosing between two competing structural econometric models. The procedure is based on a novel lack-of-fit criterion, namely, the simulated mean squared error of predictions (SMSEP), taking into account the complexity of structural...

In parametric models a sufficient condition for local idenfication is that the vector of moment is differentiable at the true parameter with full rank derivative matrix. This paper shows that additional conditions are often needed in nonlinear, nonparametric models to avoid nonlinearities...

We develop a practical and novel method for inference on intersection bounds, namely bounds defined by either the infimum or supremum of a parametric or nonparametric function, or equivalently, the value of a linear programming problem with a potentially infinite constraint set. We show that...

We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality for a class of estimators that are linear combinations of a set of v n- consistent estimators whose cardinality increases with sample size. A special case of our framework corresponds to the conditional moment restriction and the implied...

This paper develops maximum score estimation of preference parameters in the binary choice model under uncertainty in which the decision rule is affected by conditional expectations. The preference parameters are estimated in two stages: we estimate conditional expectations nonparametrically in...