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The paper evaluates the potential of band spectral estimation for extracting signals in economic time series. Two situations are considered. The first deals with trend extraction when the original data have been permanently altered by routine operations, such as prefiltering, temporal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450648
EuroMInd-D is a density estimate of monthly gross domestic product (GDP) constructed according to a bottom–up approach, pooling the density estimates of eleven GDP components, by output and expenditure type. The components density estimates are obtained from a medium-size dynamic factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011249493
The paper deals with the estimation of monthly indicators of economic activity for the Euro area and its largest member countries that possess the following attributes: relevance, representativeness and timeliness. Relevance is obtained by referring our monthly indicators to gross domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010826211
This paper considers methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series in a framework where the number of predictors, N, is too large to apply traditional regression models but not su¢ciently large to resort to statistical inference based on double asymptotics. Our interest is motivated by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764828