Purpose ? To develop an integrated approach to forecasting spot foreign exchange rates by incorporating some principles underlying long-term dependence.Design/methodology/approach ? The paper utilises the random-walk framework to develop a stochastic forecast model wherein the sign (positive or...

An important assumption underlying traditional theories of financial time-series behaviour is that consecutive changes in the price of an asset (ie. asset returns) are independent of each other. For analysts seeking to predict the future value of an asset, this implies that the best step-ahead...

This paper will attempt to provide a comprehensive review and introduce the concept of international financial integration. In addition, it provides a review on the available indicators used as proxies for international financial integration in empirical studies. It also proposes a more detailed...

This paper examines whether the firm-level and the industry-level cross-sectional volatility (CSV) contains any incremental information about the future market-level volatility in Australia. We analyze daily equity returns data from 2 January 1992 to 31 May 2004. Using a conditional volatility...

This paper focuses on the dynamics of international financial integration for a set of 13 industrial countries including Australia over the period 1990 to 2003 by analysing data on the level and composition of foreign assets and liabilities. The objective of the study is to provide insights into...

The local Hurst exponent, a measure employed to detect the presence of dependence in a time series, may also be used to investigate the source of intraday variation observed in the returns in foreign exchange markets. Given that changes in the local Hurst exponent may be due to either a...

This paper investigates the empirical relationship between intraday volatility and trading volume. Our primary data set consists of 5-minute returns and trading volumes for the period between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2002, for a subset of thirty-nine stocks from the Shanghai Stock...

There has been an increase in the degree of international financial integration over the last two decades. Countries are trying to remove the restrictions on cross-border capital movement, deregulate the domestic financial markets and offer competitive investment environment to encourage...

All banks must hold capital equal to the minimum regulatory requirement. However, in many cases the level of regulatory capital diverges from the actual (economic) capital held by banks. A bank's actual capital is typically linked to a target credit rating, which is in turn determined by the...

When asset returns conform to a Gaussian distribution, the moments of the distribution over long return intervals may be estimated by scaling the moments of shorter return intervals. While it is well known that asset returns are not normally distributed, a key empirical question concerns the...