Showing 1 - 10 of 224
Do asset prices aggregate investors’ private information about the ability of financial analysts? We show that as financial analysts become reputable, the market can get trapped: Investors optimally choose to ignore their private information, and blindly follow analyst recommendations. As time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011240393
This paper develops a model of career concerns. The worker's skill is revealed through output, wage is based on expected output, and so on assessed ability. Specifically, effort increases the probability that a skilled worker achieves a one-time breakthrough. Effort levels at different times are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352220
This paper analyzes the impact of market structure on career concerns. Effort increases the probability that a skilled agent achieves a one-time breakthrough. Wages are based on assessed ability and on expected output. For any wage, the agent works too little, too late. Under short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010895652
Motivated by the rise of social media, we build a model studying the effect of an economy’s potential for social learning on the adoption of innovations of uncertain quality. Provided consumers are forward-looking (i.e., recognize the value of waiting for information), equilibrium dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168888
We consider a general model of dynamic common agency with symmetric information. We focus on Markov perfect equilibria and characterize the equilibrium set for a refinement of the Markov perfect equilibria. Particular attention is given to the existence of a marginal contribution equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762487
This note shows that the optimal choice of k simultaneous experiments in a stationary multi-armed bandit problem can be characterized in terms of the Gittins index of each arm. The index characterization remains equally valid after the introduction of switching costs.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762526
This paper revisits Wald's (1947) sequential experimentation paradigm, now assuming that an impatient decision maker can run variable-size experiments each period at some increasing and strictly convex cost before finally choosing an irreversible action. We translate this natural discrete time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762616
This paper analyzes the optimal entry into experience goods markets with vertically differentiated buyers. We consider the case where the value of the new product is imperfectly known, but common to all buyers (common values) as well as the case where the quality is different across buyers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762849
We consider the model of price competition for a single buyer among many sellers in a dynamic environment. The surplus from each trade is allowed to depend on the path of previous purchases, and as a result, the model captures phenomena such as learning by doing and habit formation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463902
This paper produces a comprehensive theory of the value of Bayesian information and its static demand. Our key insight … produces the heat equation from physics, and leads to a tractable theory. We derive explicit formulas that harmonize the known …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005463995