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Business Confidence and Forecasting of Housing Prices and Rents in Large German Cities

Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2014

In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128875

Forecasting the Prices and Rents for Flats in Large German Cities

Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Mense, Andreas - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2012

-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that both pooling and accounting for spatial effects helps to substantially improve the forecast …-of-sample forecasting of the growth rates of flats' prices and rents for the next six months is done. It shows that in most cities both …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896203

Speculative Price Bubbles in Urban Housing Markets in Germany

Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Michelsen, Claus; Ulbricht, Dirk - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2014

The surge in the German house prices starting in 2010 raised fears about the emergence of a speculative bubble. Given a local nature of housing markets, it is not clear to what extent the bubble, if any, is spread across different cities. In this paper, we test for speculative house price...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942857