Showing 1 - 10 of 95
This chapter proposes an up-to-date review of estimation strategies available for the Bayesian inference of GARCH … empirical application to S&P index log-returns where non-nested GARCH-type models are estimated and combined to predict the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498470
In this paper, we propose a new approach to constructing confidence sets for the timing of structural breaks. This approach involves using Markov-chain Monte Carlo methods to simulate marginal “fiducial” distributions of break dates from the likelihood function. We compare our proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619602
In this paper, we propose a new approach to constructing confidence sets for the timing of structural breaks. This approach involves using Markov-chain Monte Carlo methods to simulate marginal “fiducial” distributions of break dates from the likelihood function. We compare our proposed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005620167
A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. A number of different models for heteroskedasticity or conditional heteroskedasticity are proposed and used in applications in this context. This study reviews the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212800
sub-samples corresponding to different stages of the Romanian financial markets evolution. The GARCH models employed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258604
, but the data generating process is shown to be non-linear. A non-linear GARCH model is then applied, achieving a good …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259010
clustering and leptokurtosis are well-documented characteristics of such time series. An ARMA (1, 1)-GARCH (1, 1) ap- proach …, the ARMA-GARCH process is run assuming alternatively that the standardized residuals are distributed with Pearson Type IV …, Johnson SU, Manly’s exponential transformation, normal and t-distributions. In the second ap- proach, the ARMA-GARCH process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259375
This study investigates the impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on import demand of Thailand. The period of study is during July 1997 to December 2011. The results from bounds testing for cointegration show that all variables are cointegrated. Even though there is no short-run impact, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259406
– Modified GARCH model (c) Return and Volatility - ARMA-GARCH in mean model – Innovations Model. The findings of the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260331
periods. GARCH (1, 1) was deployed for investigating the possible eventualities of volatilities of stock markets. The findings …, almost for all countries GARCH (1, 1) yielded significant results confirming the existence of volatility of stock markets for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260497