Showing 1 - 6 of 6
In line with the neoclassical growth model a persistent stream of oil revenues might have a long lasting impact on GDP per capita in oil exporting countries through higher investment activities. This relationship is explored for Iran and the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896180
This paper examines the long-run relationship between energy consumption and real GDP, including energy prices, for 25 OECD countries from 1981 to 2007. The distinction between common factors and idiosyncratic components using principal component analysis allows to distinguish between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008568246
For many analysts, the Chinese economy is spurred by a bubble in the housing market, probably driven by the fiscal stimulus package and massive credit expansion, with pos-sible adverse effects to the real economy. To get insights into the size of the bubble, the house price evolution is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008756092
This paper extends the idea of using ex-ante risk measures in a model of precautionary savings by explicitly simulating … specific effects. I find evidence for precautionary savings in response to the uncertainty measures. The results are robust and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009360169
How can public pension systems be reformed to ensure fiscal stability in the face of increasing life expectancy? To address this pressing open question in public finance, we estimate a life-cycle model in which the optimal employment, retirement and consumption decisions of forward-looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009195630
Much analysis in macroeconomics empirically addresses economy-wide incentives behind consumer/investment choices by using insights from the way a single representative household would behave. Heterogeneity at the micro level can jeopardize attempts to back up the representative consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008645018