Showing 1 - 10 of 104
The paper explores dynamics of inflation in Ukraine in the period of relative macroeconomic stability. The analysis of … interrelationship between inflation, money growth, wage growth, and a proxy for devaluation expectations is based on impulse responses … the most important factor driving price development, while money supply growth has negligible impact on inflation. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068693
inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, co-integration tests and error-correction models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068787
Inflation differentials in the Euro area are mainly due to a sustained divergence of wage developments across the Euro … inflation using unit labour cost (ULC) growth and applying PANIC (Bai and Ng, 2004) and cluster procedures (Hobijn and Franses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068930
This paper examines the interactions between money, consumer prices and commodity prices at a global level from 1970 to 2008. Using aggregated data for major OECD countries and a cointegrating VAR framework, we are able to establish long run and short run relationships among these variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068989
useful information about variables such as commodity prices which matter for aggregate demand and thus inflation. Given this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636404
We propose a noncausal autoregressive model with time-varying parameters, and apply it to U.S. postwar inflation. The … model .fits the data well, and the results suggest that inflation persistence follows from future expectations. Persistence … curve indicate that current inflation also depends on past inflation although future expectations dominate. The implied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010632795
We use noncausal autoregressions to examine the persistence properties of quarterly U.S. consumer price inflation from … 1970:1.2012:2. These nonlinear models capture the autocorrelation structure of the inflation series as accurately as their … conventional causal counterparts, but they allow for persistence to depend on the size and sign of shocks to inflation as well as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010632800
The present paper tests for the existence of multicointegration between real per capita private consumption expenditure and real per capita disposable personal income in the USA. In doing so, we exploit the fact that the flows of disposable income and consumption expenditure on the one hand, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005018683
In a small structural model we find asymmetries in the effects of monetary policy in Germany depending on whether the economy is in an upswing or a downswing. These two different regimes are also identified using a Markov-switching model and the Kalman filter. Our results indicate that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963955
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008557209