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this purpose, we aggregate data for major OECD countries and follow the Johansen/Juselius cointegrated VAR approach. Our … prices and goods prices movements. The cointegrated VAR model fits with the data for the analysed period from the 1970s until …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636404
2008. Using aggregated data for major OECD countries and a cointegrating VAR framework, we are able to establish long run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068989
This paper investigates the relationship between global liquidity and commodity and food prices applying a global cointegrated vector-autoregressive model. We use different measures of global liquidity and various indices of commodity and food prices for the period 1980-2011. Our results support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010538693
In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy rate (the policy spread) for the euro area and the UK during the two main phases of the financial crisis that began in late 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008557208
In this paper a mixed-frequency VAR à la Mariano & Murasawa (2004) with Markov regime switching in the parameters is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371746
The ECB has accepted increasing amounts of rubbish collateral since the crisis started leading to exposure to serious private sector credit risk (i.e. default risk) on its collateralised lending and reverse operations ("repo"). This has led some commentators to argue that the ECB needs "fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008535997
After the dramatic rescue package for the euro area, the governing council of the European Central Bank decided to purchase European government bonds - to ensure an “orderly monetary policy transmission mechanism”. Many observers argued that, by bond purchases, national fiscal policies could...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492948
The paper explores dynamics of inflation in Ukraine in the period of relative macroeconomic stability. The analysis of interrelationship between inflation, money growth, wage growth, and a proxy for devaluation expectations is based on impulse responses and variance decomposition of a vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068693
Using unit labor cost (ULC) data from Euro area countries as well as US States and German Länder we investigate inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, co-integration tests and error-correction models. All in all we cannot reject convergence of ULC growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068787
Inflation differentials in the Euro area are mainly due to a sustained divergence of wage developments across the Euro area, and narrower differences in labour productivity growth (Alvarez et al., 2006). We investigate convergence of inflation using unit labour cost (ULC) growth and applying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068930