-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the … for GDP forecasting although their ranking depends on the underlying transformation of monthly indicators from which the …

" forecasting institutions in Germany. We test for a non-linear relation between forecast errors and macroeconomic fundamentals and …

unbiased and weakly, but not strongly efficient. Besides the effect of diverging forecasting dates, no other substantial … differences in forecasting quality are found among forecasters. We argue that is not always advisable to listen to the majority of …

model .fits the data well, and the results suggest that inflation persistence follows from future expectations. Persistence … curve indicate that current inflation also depends on past inflation although future expectations dominate. The implied … trend inflation estimate evolves smoothly and is well aligned with survey expectations. There is evidence in favor of the …

-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that both pooling and accounting for spatial effects helps to substantially improve the forecast …-of-sample forecasting of the growth rates of flats' prices and rents for the next six months is done. It shows that in most cities both …

This paper considers the issue of forecasting financial fragility of banks and insurances using a panel data set of …

even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared … spatial dependence structure into regional forecasting models, especially, when long-term forecasts are made. …

subject to revisions. This makes them an excellent source of information for the macroeconomic forecasting. …

shown that effect of accounting for spatial dependence is even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast …