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In a small structural model we find asymmetries in the effects of monetary policy in Germany depending on whether the economy is in an upswing or a downswing. These two different regimes are also identified using a Markov-switching model and the Kalman filter. Our results indicate that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963955
central bank puts a higher weight on stabilizing inflation in the country with a higher degree of nominal rigidity continues …-country disparities in the degree of price rigidities on the volatility of inflation are amplified. While the volatility of inflation in … the economy with a higher degree of price rigidity is almost as low as in the model without borrowers, inflation in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010661280
central bank puts a higher weight on stabilizing inflation in the country with a higher degree of nominal rigidity continues …-country disparities in the degree of price rigidities on the volatility of inflation are amplified. While the volatility of inflation in … the economy with a higher degree of price rigidity is almost as low as in the model without borrowers, inflation in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128094
The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in spillovers) and flight-to-quality patterns, exploiting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273259
This paper presents a revised version of the DIW Economic Barometer, the business cycle index of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin). As in earlier versions, we put forward a factor model on a monthly frequency to filter the latent state of the aggregate economy. In the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933108
Before the World War I, the urban rental housing market in Germany could be described as a free and competitive market. The government hardly interfered in the relationships between the landlords and ten- ants. The rents were set freely. During the World War I, the market was hit by several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011273260
In this paper, we construct the country-specific chronologies of the house price bubbles for 12 OECD countries over the period 1969:Q1- 2010:Q2. These chronologies are obtained using a combination of a fundamental and a filter approaches. The resulting speculative bubble chronology is the one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216692
investigates to what extent this process affects output growth and inflation in the advanced countries. A GVAR model is specified … multipliers are also reduced by a sizeable effect on inflation, as Chinese firms participate in international production chains. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009294978
Does the mere presence of big banks affect macroeconomic outcomes? In this paper, we develop a theory of granularity (Gabaix, 2011) for the banking sector, introducing Bertrand competition and heterogeneous banks charging variable markups. Using this framework, we show conditions under which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010722772
Die Einführung einer gemeinsamen Geldpolitik in elf europäischen Ländern erhöhte die Bedeutung von konjunkturellen Frühindikatoren für dieses Gebiet. Brauchbare Frühindikatoren sollten folgende Eigenschaften besitzen: (1) Die konjunkturellen Bewegungen des Frühindikators sollten denen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963607