Showing 1 - 10 of 117
1851-2013 by estimating a multivariate ARFIMA-FIGARCH model (with the unemployment rate and inflation as explanatory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010786996
The paper explores dynamics of inflation in Ukraine in the period of relative macroeconomic stability. The analysis of … interrelationship between inflation, money growth, wage growth, and a proxy for devaluation expectations is based on impulse responses … the most important factor driving price development, while money supply growth has negligible impact on inflation. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068693
inflation convergence using different approaches, namely panel unit root tests, co-integration tests and error-correction models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068787
Inflation differentials in the Euro area are mainly due to a sustained divergence of wage developments across the Euro … inflation using unit labour cost (ULC) growth and applying PANIC (Bai and Ng, 2004) and cluster procedures (Hobijn and Franses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068930
This paper examines the interactions between money, consumer prices and commodity prices at a global level from 1970 to 2008. Using aggregated data for major OECD countries and a cointegrating VAR framework, we are able to establish long run and short run relationships among these variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068989
useful information about variables such as commodity prices which matter for aggregate demand and thus inflation. Given this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636404
find evidence for such a non-linearity for inflation forecasts. Evidence from probit models further suggests that some … macroeconomic fundamentals - especially monetary factors - correlate to large positive or negative forecast growth and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005068945
Based on a panel of German professional forecasts for 1970 to 2002 we find that growth and inflation forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069095
This study utilizes the dynamic factor model of Giannone et al. (2008) in order to make now-/forecasts of GDP quarter-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the Swiss GDP. We find that the factor model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615361
A couple of recent papers have shifted the focus towards disagreement of professional forecasters. When dealing with survey data that is sampled at a frequency higher than annual and that includes only fixed event forecasts, e.g. expectation of average annual growth rates measures of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963644