Showing 1 - 10 of 23
The tendency to foreshorten time units as we peer further into the future provides an explanation for hyperbolic discounting at an intergenerational time scale. We study implications of hyperbolic discounting for climate change policy, when the probability of a climate-induced catastrophe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011130797
value or policy functionapproximations, and reductions of the uncertainty domain. The paper promotes astate reduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011130821
his confidence in the uncertainty assessment of a particular setting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011130823
We analyze the impact of damage uncertainty on optimal mitigation policies in the integrated assessment of climate … deriving optimal policy rules under persistent uncertainty. For this purpose,we construct a close relative of the DICE model in … aversion, and aversion to intertemporal substitution. We analyze different ways how damage uncertainty can affect the DICE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493686
The paper introduces a new notion of risk aversion that is independent of the good under observation and its measure scale. The representational framework builds on a time consistent combination of additive separability on certain consumption paths and the von Neumann & Morgenstern (1944)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646057
The paper analyzes the discount rate under uncertainty. The analysis complements the probabilistic characterization of … uncertainty by a measure of confidence. Special cases of the model comprise discounting under smooth ambiguity aversion as well as … general class of preferences for which uncertainty implies a reduction of the discount rate. It also characterizes how the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646069
Uncertainty has an almost negligible impact on project value in the economicstandard model. I show that a comprehensive … evaluation of uncertainty and uncertainty attitude changes this picture fundamentally. The analysis relies on the discount rate … respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic social discount …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646074
We model optimal policy when the probability of a tipping point, the welfare change due to a tipping point, and knowledge about a tipping point's trigger all depend on the policy path. Analytic results demonstrate how optimal policy depends on the ability to affect both the probability of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646075
his confidence in the uncertainty assessment of a particular setting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646078
The uncertainty of future economic development affects the term structure of discount rates and, thus, the … to incorporate uncertainty and the U.S. is consideringa similar step. A series of publications discusses the following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010676459