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Modern theories of inflation incorporate a vertical long-run Phillips curve and are usually estimated using techniques that ignore the non-stationary behaviour of inflation. Consequently, the estimates obtained are imprecise and are unable to distinguish between competing models of inflation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005744361
This paper considers whether the Euro-area economies have become more competitive since the introduction of the Euro and the implementation of the Lisbon strategy. Using a measure of the markup as a proxy for competition we show that while the markup has varied considerably over the past 25...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005697713
Using business survey data on German manufacturing firms, this paper provides tests for hypotheses that predict distributrional effects in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. Effects of monetary policy shocks on the business conditions of firms of several size classes are analysed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816413
an e.ect of a US shock. More generally, the models have a good forecasting performance over short horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005744260
volatility, and the comovement between labor market variables and other key aggregate variables in response to the shock. We … shocks. For each shock, we examine the dynamic e®ects on the labor market, the importance of the shock for labor market … policy shocks are important for labor market volatility but the ranking of their importance is sensitive to the VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005744302
A fresh interpretaion is provided of the influential finding that the markup of prices over marginal costs is counter-cyclical. Using Rotemberg and Woodford's data set we argue that the markup is best modelled as a variable that is integrated of order one. A consequence of this finding is that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005744315
There is a wide literature on the dynamic adjustment of employment and its relationship with the business cycle. Our aim is to propose a statistical model that offers a congruent representation of post-war US employment and output data. We use a cointegrated vector autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005557752
This paper deals with the existence of a common European growth cycle and its identification. Based on the analysis of some descriptive statistics in the time and frequency domain there is clear evidence of comovement in output growth among European countries.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005697719
the volatility and the distributions. We propose a method of testing restrictions for Granger noncausality on all these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653955
negative shock to financial intermediation and aggregate income. We find that (i) in the Great recession constrained agents … their nature, re-distributive effects and - when coupled with a negative income shock as in the Great Recession - give rise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905866