This paper examines consumption and savings dynamics in a standard model of incomplete markets. Existence of equilibrium requires the imposition of exogenous debt limits but these are often ignored because of the computational difficulties that arise in models with occasionally binding...

Differential equations with advanced and delayed time arguments may arise in the optimality conditions of simple growth models with delays. Models with investment gestation lags (time-to-build), consumption gestation lags (habit formation) or learning by using lie in this category. In this...

We obtain a recursive formulation for a general class of contracting problems involving incentive constraints. These constraints make the corresponding maximization sup problems non-recursive. Our approach consists of studying a recursive Lagrangian. Under standard general conditions, there is a...

The Cox statistic for non nested models is used to test the probit and logit specifications estimated by Bardasi and Monfardini (1997) for the occupational choice of the Italian workers among the private, the public and the self-employed options. Computation of different versions of test is...

Classical Gaussian maximum likelihood estimation of mixed vector autoregressive moving-average models is plagued with various numerical problems and has been considered di±cult by many applied researchers. These disadvantages could have led to the dominant use of vector autoregressive models in...

"Fixed frequency effect models" represent a powerful tool for analyzing time series exhibiting strong periodicities. However, in spite of their appeal to the practitioner, their use has been constrained by ignorance about their statistical properties. This paper attempts to oer a comparison...

Dynamic models with inequality constraints pose a challenging problem for two major reasons: Dynamic Programming techniques often necessitate a non established differentiability of the value function, while Euler equation based techniques have problematic or unknown convergence properties. This...

This paper develops statistical and computational tools for modelling returns forecasts to be used by a risk neutral investor. Any forecast with the same sign as the conditional mean optimises the loss function derived from this agents' decision problem, so the class of optimal predictors is...

Recent economic developments have shown the importance of spillover and contagion effects in financial markets as well as in macroeconomic reality. Such effects are not limited to relations between the levels of variables but also impact on the volatility and the distributions. We propose a...

This paper quantifies the effects of credit spread and income shocks on aggregate house prices and households’ welfare. We address this issue within a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous households and occasionally binding collateral constraints. Credit spread...