Showing 1 - 10 of 410
This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'European Economic Review' (2013). Vol. 61, pp. 186-204.<P> Rational Expectations (RE) models have two crucial dimensions: 1) agents correctly forecast future prices given all available information, and 2) given expectations, agents solve...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256912
We propose a simultaneous model specification procedure for the conditional mean and conditional variance in nonparametric and semiparametric time series econometric models. An adaptive and optimal model specification test procedure is then constructed and its asymptotic properties are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063586
. Learning about the transmission process of monetary policy is introduced by having heterogeneous agents - i.e. the central bank …. Here following Evans and Honkapohja (2001), the learning scheme we investigate is that of least-squares learning (recursive … OLS) using the Kalman filter. We find that optimal monetary policy under learning is a policy that separates estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342215
private agents' learning process, determines the speed at which the economy converges to the rational expectation equilibrium … convergence. I assess the relevance of the transition period from the learning to the rational expectations equilibrium when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342282
This paper analyzes a stochastic model of evolution in normal form games. The long-run behavior of individuals in this model is investigated in the limit where mutation rates tend to zero, while the expected number of mutations, and hence population sizes, tend to infinity. It is shown that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005129796
This discussion paper led to a publication in 'Macroeconomic Dynamics' (2013). Vol. 17(8), pp. 1574-1604.<P> The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We use a stylized macro model of Howitt (1992) to...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255558
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in <A HREF="http://link.springer.com/article/10.1023/A%3A1003253925406">'De Economist'</A>, 1998, 146, 59-89.<P> Since the 1950's economists applied game theoretical concepts to a wide variety of economic problems. The Nash equilibrium concept has proven to be a powerful instrument in analyzing the outcome of economic...</p></a>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257111
behavioral learning equilibria as a plausible explanation of coordination of individual expectations and aggregate phenomena such …. The simplicity of behavioral learning equilibria makes coordination of individual expectations on such an aggregate … outcome more likely. In a first application, an asset pricing model with AR(1) dividends, a unique behavioral learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257225
consider a simple real business cycle model with noisy learning by doing. The solution has a stationary distribution that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255583
We study a model of collective decision making with endogenous information collection.Agents collect information about the consequences of a project, communicate, and then vote onthe project. We examine under what conditions communication may increase the probability thatgood decisions are made....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255757