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This paper empirically examines the effect of house price changes on economic growth across provinces in South Africa. The economic impact of house prices is estimated using a panel data set that covers all nine provinces in South Africa from 1996 to 2010. We find that when heterogeneity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009225818
This paper evaluates the performance of 11 vector autoregressive models in forecasting 15 macroeconomic variables for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686906
The paper studies the effect of High Yielding Variety (HYV) of seeds on agricultural yield for the state of West Bengal and, in turn, goes ahead and prepares a postmortem of why, if so, the Òmiracle seedsÓ failed to deliver in West Bengal, as is so often claimed. The results indicate that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773187
This paper examines the dynamic relationship between fiscal decentralisation and poverty in South Africa within a panel data framework. The data used covers the period 2005 to 2011 for the eight metropolitan municipalities making a total of 56 observations. We use household consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010720688
Researchers focus more on the relationship between research output and economic growth. The study of such a relationship is not only of theoretical interest, but it can also influence specific policies to improve the quality, and probably the quantity of research output. This paper has studied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886036
This study applies the bootstrap panel causality test proposed by Kónya (2006), which accounts for both dependency and heterogeneity across countries, to test the causal link between population growth and economic growth in 21 countries over the period of 1870-2013. With regards to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268326
This paper compares the forecasting ability of five alternative types of models in predicting four key macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005025618
This paper provides an empirical analysis of the role of house prices in determining the dynamic behaviour of consumption in South Africa using a panel vector autoregression (PVAR) approach to provincial level panel data covering the period of 1996 to 2010. With the shocks being identified using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009654183
This paper uses a predictive regression framework to examine the out-of-sample predictability of South Africa’s equity premium, using a host of financial and macroeconomic variables. Past studies tend to suggest that the predictors on their own fail to deliver consistent out-of-sample forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603881
This paper empirically examines the causal linkages between policy uncertainty and house prices in a panel of seven advanced countries including Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the UK and the US. We implement a bootstrap panel causality test on quarterly data from 2001Q1 to 2013Q1, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010755817