This study investigates the asymmetric and time-varying causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in South Africa within a conditional Gaussian Markov switching vector autoregressive (MS-VAR) model framework. The MS-VAR model is capable of determining both the sign and direction of...

The persistence of macroeconomic shocks is one of the most investigated issues in empirical economics. Given the importance of industrial production, a highly seasonal variable with possible breaks, as measure of output in econometric models, in this study, we investigate the persistence...

The persistence property of inflation is an important issue for not only economists, but, especially for central banks, given that the degree of inflation persistence determines the extent to which central banks can control inflation. Also, not only is the level of inflation persistence that is...

This paper analyzes whether the Law of One Price (LOOP) holds in the housing market of five metropolitan areas of South Africa, namely Cape Town, Durban, Greater Johannesburg, Port Elizabeth/Uitenhage and Pretoria. We test the existence of LOOP using the efficient unit root tests proposed by...

This paper first tests if housing prices in the five segments of the South African housing market, namely, large-middle, medium-middle, small-middle, luxury and affordable, exhibits non-linearity based on smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) models estimated using quarterly data covering the...

Housing price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios are among the most widely monitored indicators of housing market conditions. While these ratios tend to fluctuate around a constant level or a mild trend over the long term, they also tend to deviate from these benchmarks for protracted periods....

This paper analyses comovement in housing prices across the euro area. We use techniques based on the concepts of fractional integration and cointegration. Our results indicate that all the individual log-real price indices series display orders of integration which are above one, implying long...

This paper deals with the analysis of two observed features in historical oil prices data. In particular, persistence and cyclicity. Using monthly data from September 1859 to October 2013, we observe that the series presents two peaks in the spectrum, one occurring at the long run or zero...

This study examines the time series behaviour of nominal and real house prices within a long memory approach with non-linear trends using long span of data for the US economy, over the annual period of 1830-2013. In general, the results show a high degree of persistence in the series along with...

This paper analyses the statistical properties of five major precious metal prices (gold, silver, rhodium, palladium and platinum) based the fractional integration modelling framework while identifying structural breaks. We use monthly data from 1972:1 to 2013:12. Our results indicate orders of...