Showing 1 - 10 of 99
This study investigates the asymmetric and time-varying causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in South … features of inflation series simultaneously by measuring inflation uncertainty as the conditional variance of inflation …’s hypothesis. This implies that past information on inflation can help improve the one-step-ahead prediction of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011125860
turn, postulates an inverted u-shaped relationship between environmental pollutants and output. The empirical literature on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011240314
The persistence property of inflation is an important issue for not only economists, but, especially for central banks …, given that the degree of inflation persistence determines the extent to which central banks can control inflation. Also, not … only is the level of inflation persistence that is important in economic analyses, but also the question of whether the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095454
The objective of this paper is to predict, both in-sample and out-of-sample, the consumer price index (CPI) of the United States (US) economy based on monthly data covering the period of 1980:1-2013:12, using a variety of linear (random walk (RW), autoregressive (AR) and seasonally-adjusted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196639
The objective of this paper is to explore the sensitivity of industry-specific stock returns to monetary policy and macroeconomic news. The paper looks at a range of industry-specific South African stock market indices and evaluates the sensitivity of these indices to a various unanticipated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010565808
This paper analyses the empirical relationship between inflation and growth using a panel data estimation technique … time levels, we find that a statistically significant negative relationship exists between inflation and growth for the … inflation rates above the critical threshold levels of 9% and 30% which are endogenously determined. Furthermore, we remedy the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165589
We try and detect whether there exists a threshold level of inflation for the US economy over 1801-2013, beyond which … semiparametric (SNP-IV) methods to obtain inflation thresholds for the United States. The results suggest that the relationship … between growth and inflation is hump shaped—that higher levels of inflation reduce growth more. Our results consistently show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095428
The conduct of inflation targeting is heavily dependent on accurate inflation forecasts. Non-linear models have … African infl ation by means of non-linear models and using a long historical dataset of seasonally-adjusted monthly inflation …, given the fact that 1969:10 marks the beginning of a protracted rising trend in South African inflation data, we estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095462
This paper exploits the Lucas’ (1973) signal extraction model to study the effect of uncertainty in the output-inflation … trade-off on inflation, using a monetary model with asymmetric central bank preferences over inflation and output. We show …. Secondly, as suggested in an optimal rule, it causes output to contract by less whenever inflation increases above the target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095467
The oil price-inflation relationship has been at the center of attention among economists and policy makers, especially … after 1970’s oil shocks that resulted to a significant increase in the inflation rate in number of countries around the … world. In this study, we aim to investigate the evolving relationship between oil price and inflation in South Africa, using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784810