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sector inflation expectations has become an essential channel through which this goal is achieved. This evaluation aims to … improve the understanding of how the sensitivity of private sector inflation expectations to macroeconomic surprises in South … anchoring inflation expectations. If a central bank is credible, the financial markets should react less sensitively to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004993715
-side effect. We argue that it is crucial for monetary authorities to understand whether an increase in expected future inflation … is due to supply shocks or demand shocks before applying contractionary policy to forestall inflation. Using a standard … whether the South African Reserve Bank should apply contractionary policy to fight inflation depends critically on the nature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009228586
inflation-targeting regimes that deserves more attention is reformulating their targets explicitly in terms of core inflation …. Core inflation targeting has a better theoretical grounding from both welfare economics and business cycle perspectives …, holds practical advantages for inflation-targeting central banks, and has the promising feature of improving the frankness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011007866
a result, aggregate inflation expectations of the public as a whole can be described as ‘sticky’ in that the spread of … information about inflation expectations through the economy is not instantaneous. A body of literature has emerged over the past … provide insight into how the general public in South Africa forms its inflation expectations. This enables an estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010547879
period information sets. In the literature the choice of proxies for the inflation expectations and output gap measures are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010834037
This paper contributes to the debate on the level and trajectory of welfare at the Cape of Good Hope during the 18th century. Recent scholarship (for example, Allen 2005) has calculated and compared the levels and evolution of real wages in various European and Asian economies since the early...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493930
The objective of this paper is to explore the sensitivity of industry-specific stock returns to monetary policy and macroeconomic news. The paper looks at a range of industry-specific South African stock market indices and evaluates the sensitivity of these indices to a various unanticipated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010834055
Inflation targeting is a forward-looking framework for monetary policy that has brought unprecedented transparency to …) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has, since the introduction of inflation targeting, successfully communicated to the public its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008465094
focused on maintaining low and stable inflation. Assuming that potential output is determined mainly by the quantity and … can sustain for long periods of time. If the economy grows at a different rate from the potential output, then inflation … between actual output and potential output (or the output gap). If the output gap is positive inflation tends to rise and vice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005523216
This paper uses an SVAR approach to discuss the cyclicality of fiscal and monetary policy in South Africa since 1994. There is substantial South African literature on this topic, but much disagreement remains. Though not undisputed, there is growing consensus that monetary policy has contributed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005650428