We develop a consistent conditional moment test of Lp-best predictor functional form, 1p=2. Our main result is a reduction of the nuisance parameter space to the set of integers which greatly simplifies asymptotic theory, and allows for removal of the nuisance parameter in a mechanical fashion....

This paper considers tail shape inference techniques robust to substantial degrees of serial dependence and heterogeneity. We detail a new kernel estimator of the asymptotic variance and the exact small sample mean-squared-error, and a simple representation of the bias of the B. Hill (1975) tail...

We establish functional central limit theorems for a broad class of dependent, heterogeneous tail arrays encountered in the extreme value literature, including extremal exceedances, tail empirical processes and tail empirical quantile processes. We trim dependence assumptions down to a minimum...

This paper develops a consistent test of best Lp-predictor functional form for a time series process. By functionally relating two moment conditions with different nuisance parameters we are able to construct a vector moment condition in which at least one element must be non-zero under the...

Growth volatility is a major factor that retards growth. Recent studies that link democracy and volatility can not account for a link between democracy and investment volatility. Here, instead, we focus on a specific channel that links individualistism and low volatility. Unlike an...