The paper uses the Lewis model as a framework for examining the labour market progress of two labour-abundant countries, China and South Africa, towards labour shortage and generally rising labour real incomes. In the acuteness of their rural-urban divides, forms of migrant labour, rapid...

As financial stability has gained focus in economic policymaking, the demand for analyses of financial stability and the consequences of economic policy has increased. Alternative macroeconomic models are available for policy analyses, and this paper evaluates the usefulness of some models from...

A convergence model with wealth accumulation subject to i.i.d. random shocks is examined. The transfer function shows what k_{t+1} - wealth at t+1 - would be, given k_t, with no shock: It has a positive slope, but its concavity/convexity is indeterminate. The stationary distribution of wealth...

A convergence model in which wealth accumulation is subject to i.i.d. random shocks is examined. The accumulation functions shows what k_{t+1} - wealth at t+1 - would be given k_t and with no shock. It has a positive slope, but its concavity or convexity is indeterminate. The focus is the...

Important gaps remain in the understanding of the economic consequences of civil war.  Focusing on the conflict in Rwanda in the early 90s, and using micro data to carry out econometric analysis, this paper finds that households and localities that experience more intense conflict are lagging...

China has had a remarkably high ratio of investment to output throughout the period of economic reform, surpassing almost all other economies, whether developed or developing.  The high investment rate is in turn an important proximate determinant of China's high rate of economic growth.  This...

UK inflation varied greatly over 1865-1990, in response to many policy and exchange-rate regimes, two world wars and oil crises, and major legislative, and technological changes. It is modelled as responding to excess demands from all sectors of the economy: goods and services, factors of...