Although it is a common theoretical assumption that the chances to find a job fall with time in unmeployment, this is not systematically confirmed by empirical evidence, and there is no evidence for developing countries.  We develop a farmework that allows us to test the four major explanations...

We investigate why we observe non-negative duration dependence among young unemployed men in urban Ethiopia. Assuming that genuine duration dependence is negative, there are five explanations for a non-decreasing hazard: the presence of unemployment benefits, the existence of Active Labour...

Global frailty is an unobserved macroeconomic variable.  In event data contexts, this unobserved variable is assumed to impact the hazard rate of event arrivals.  Attempts to identify and estimate the path of frailty are complicated when observed macroeconomic variables also impact hazard...

We construct a simple probit model of the determinants of real house price slump endings.  We find that the probability of a house price slump ending is higher, the smaller was the pre-slump house price run-up; the greater has been the cumualtive house price decline; the lower are real mortgage...

A new semiparametric proportional hazard rate model is proposed which extends standard models to include a dynamic specification. Two main problems are resolved in the course of this paper. First, the partial likelihood approach to estimate the components of a standard proportional hazard model...

The aim of this work is to explore the relationship between unemployment and fertility. The hypothesis we investigate is that unemployment affects fertility decisions by influencing individual`s expectations of future job opportunities and wage levels. A spell of unemployment may induce women to...

This paper investigates the effect of earnings and employment opportunities on pre-marital fertility. Using data from a sample of British women born in 1970, we estimate an independent competing risk harzard model of fertility and cohabitation decisions. Our results show that individual earnings...

This paper develops a test for monotonicity of nonparametric regression models under endogeneity, which in its generality is novel in the literature.  The test statistic, which is built upon a second order U-process, introduces 'correction terms' based on control functions that purge the...

This paper estimates a New Keynesian model to investigate to what extent labour market reforms undertaken by the Thatcher government in the late 1930s and the introduction of a constant inflation target in 1992 might have changed the UK economic outlook if they had been introduced in the early...

Geographical imbalances in the health workforce have been a consistent feature of nearly all health systems, and especially in developing countries. In this paper we investigate the willingness to work in a rural area among final year nursing and medical students in Ethiopia. Analyzing data...